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INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE
The investment objective of this portfolio is to capture the majority of the equity market higher returns, while at the same time also minimizing risk across diversified investment sectors. Historically, equity investments have produced higher rate of return as compared to fixed income investments. However while providing better return, equity investments have more exposure to greater fluctuations in value & volatility over time. Hence we allocate a small portion to fixed income securities. It is made to serve investors who are looking out for Medium to long term growth of capital; current income is of secondary importance.
This portfolio is formulated for a less risk inverse investor whose objective is to earn considerably high return at the price of increased risk exposure over medium to long term. The investment approach is to identify companies with decent financial health and good earnings which sell at an attractive value. This combination of indexed stock portfolio with fixed income securities is designed to provide the portfolio with an efficient trade � off between risk and return where risk is described by volatility and fluctuations in value over time. Since this is a personal portfolio; regulatory and legal constraints are not significant investment factors.
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Because the prices of different assets (i.e. bonds and stocks) will not each react in the same way to adverse events, a combination of different asset types will reduce the portfolio’s volatility to market swings. Generally, the bond and equity markets move in opposite directions, so, that is why this portfolio is diversified across both areas, unpleasant movements in one will be offset by positive results in another.
Here we have chosen Equity securities of typically large companies that are well established in their respective industries with sound financial health. Three main aims of this portfolio is Capital Appreciation, Provides Income & Tax Deferred Savings.
This portfolio has 80 percent equities or similar higher
risk investments focused on growth, while
also offering income-oriented investments.
This moderately aggressive portfolio
may be suitable if
• the person has moderately high expectations
for a return on your investments
AGGRESSIVE GROWTH - 0%
GROWTH - 0%
INCOME - 0%
GLOBAL/INTERNATIONAL - 0%
GROWTH & INCOME � 10%
• Can tolerate market downturns and
volatility for the possibility of achieving greater long-term gains.
• Desire potential returns that moderately outpace inflation
• Have 10 years or more before you
will need to utilize the money from
your investments.
ECONOMIC FORECAST
In 001 after the unusually strong performance and expansion of the previous year, the world economy experienced a widespread slowdown with growth slowing in almost every region. This slump exposed a series of entangled developments, downward adjustments in equity prices & tightening monetary policy in most countries in response to rising demand pressures. The already weakened economy was further affected by the September 11 attacks which deteriorated Macroeconomic conditions. In the year 00, there were increasing signs that the economic downturn was slowing down and growth was turning up. Economists were positive for the recovery of the economy. Now in the mean time. Unstable political situation is triggered by the tension between US & Iraq. The downward risks are significant because of the recent volatility in the oil market and the fitful start � stop of the US economy. Although the economy is unpredictable in the short run, diversification of funds is necessary so that we can enter into a comfortable position.
PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION
The portfolio is utilized in order to obtain a most efficient blend of asset classes that provide the investor a high return at an acceptable level of risk to the investors. The portfolio’s investment is divided into �
᠋ Equity investments (78%)
᠋ Fixed income securities (17%)
᠋ Cash (5%)
The portfolio is divided in such a way because from the recent stock market crash and bear market, this is a great time during the recovery to enter the market. Fixed income securities and cash is allocated in order to provide protection against the volatilities in the market.
Since this fund is targeted for less risk averse investors whose investment objective is to earn considerably higher return over the long term at the price of increased risk exposure, a mix of conservative high � value and high � growth stocks would be beneficial. Most of them a Beta (scale of risk) between 0.1 & 1., where Beta of 0.1 represents low risk and Beta of 1. represents high risk stock. The stock mixture is selected from across different sectors in order to have a well diversified portfolio with low level of correlation between one stock and another. A thorough distribution is maintained between Hardware and software as well as services.
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
TYPE AMOUNT INVESTED PERCENTAGE
EQUITY INVESTMENTS $8,170 78%
FIXED INCOME SECURITIES $8,070 17%
CASH $7,760 5%
TOTAL $500,000 100%
WHY DOES THE PORTFOLIO CONTAIN SELECTION OF THESE HOLDINGS?
Business sectors have been performing well for the past few years. It is likely that this sector will perform well in the future as consumers need to use these services constantly from this sector. Fedex is a reputable and trusted courier agent which will deliver a high marginal growth since the consumers demand is likely to increase in the future. As for the past, this stock offered good returns for the last years.
Citibank is one of the worlds largest financial services company. Citigroup offers credit cards, banking, asset management, insurance & investment banking services through more than 5600 locations worldwide. Citigroup is also a leader in online financial services. Therefore, investment in Citibank not only diversifies our portfolio but also offers a good prospect.
IT hardware & software sector has been unattractive in the past two years due to the weaker than expected earnings faced by most companies in this sector. However PC demand is expected to increase and recovery in the economy would boost corporate IT spending. Companies have been adopting “smart spending” method, which means that most corporate users are investing in IT solutions that will improve their efficiency & value. Investment in DELL & Intel is recommended due to their strong financial profile and market leadership in their respective industries.
After a very strong performance the previous years, Healthcare stocks struggled. However, healthcare is one of the best sectors in the market to invested in from a long term perspective. This sector is also recession � proof as individuals still need the products and services regardless of the health of the economy. Pfizer is the world’s largest company in this sector and Pfizer’s acquisition would improve the portfolios earning visibility and reduce earnings risk. BIT which had a recent entry in the market in 001 had a solid 00 and is expecting a 4% increase in their earnings per share for 00.
For the past year, most of the shares within the Industrial materials sector have been registering losses due to the economic downturn. However, improved demand would boost the financial profile because foreign sales contribute a lot to companies’ sales revenue. And with the aftermath of September 11 and the war between US & Iraq, defense companies would most certainly reap benefit from President Bush’s proposal to increase military spending. Therefore investment is recommended in Lockheed Martin (aerospace & defense) & M (chemical).
Media has been underperforming compared to its performance in previous years. But cable TV & internet providers will perform well in the downturn. Investment in Mc-Graw Hill is recommended because of tits diversified business in Education, financial service & information, & media service. Thus, it is less correlated to other companies in this sector.
In addition to equity investment, 17% is allocated to the Bond fund. Mutual funds are chosen which are comprised of approximately 5% bonds. MGFIX is a long term bond with a net asset of $110.56 million. This bond seeks income. It does not invest in securities rated lower than BB. It has more risk exposure but it is compensated by a higher return as compared to DPGIX. This fund seeks income consistent with preservation of capital. It is holding the No. 1 rank in the Mutual fund category for international bond and is projected to hold the same position in the coming 5 years as well. 5% cash in hand is recommended to withstand any fluctuations and therefore losses in the market.
SELECTED EQUITY HOLDINGS
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Dell Corp.
McGraw Hill Publishing
Intel
M Company
Fedex
Pfizer Inc.
Bio Imaging Technology Inc.
Citigroup
SELECTED SECTORS
Aerospace & Defense
Computer Hardware
Media & Advertising
Semiconductors
Chemicals
Transportation
Pharmaceutical
Financial Services
SELECTED BOND FUNDS
Delaware Pooled Global Fixed Income
Managers Bond
ANALYSIS OF HOLDINGS
LOCKHEED MARTN INC. (LMT)
Lockheed Martin is one of the worlds leading diversified technology companies. Its research, design, development, manufacturing, and integration work involves advanced technology systems, products, and services for government and commercial customers around the world. From corporate headquarters in Bethesda, Md., Lockheed Martin is pursuing a corporate vision to be the worlds leading technology and systems enterprise. Its principal lines of business include aeronautics, space and strategic missiles, electronics, information services, and energy-environment. It is a leader in mission critical systems integration and information operations.
Strengths
᠋ 00 sales increased by 11% over 001 (6.6 billion).
᠋ The company announced an 11 % dividend.
᠋ Over the past weeks they have poised and increased their earnings by 15%. They have an impressive payout ratio of 40%.
᠋ Because it follows a disciplined Growth strategy, this increases the value of the shareholder.
᠋ Leading systems integrator and aerospace technology firm with well established position in defense.
᠋ Finances strength hood through ongoing emphasis to generate cash and reduce debt.
᠋ There is an anticipation that US dept of defense budget can increase over the next five years.
᠋ Double digit earnings per share growth.
᠋ Continued focus on core business, on performance & customer satisfaction.
᠋ Integration skills backed by robust domain expertise in project management & software development.
᠋ Low risk solutions built on mature skills & understanding customer needs.
᠋ Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated rapidly compared to earnings growth in the past three years.
᠋ Lockheed Martin moves product in times of crisis -- the company is the worlds #1 defense contractor.
᠋ Lockheed Martin is also under contract to develop the Department of Defenses next generation of highly secure communications satellite known as the Advanced Extremely High Frequency (AEHF) system, as envisioned by the Pentagon. Lockheed Martin has also received a $6.4 million contract to commence Low-Rate Initial Production (LRIP) of the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) for the U.S. Army and Marine Corps. With these new projects in hand their earnings is expected to increase from 0.4 in this quarter to .54 in 004.
᠋
DELL CORP. (DELL)
Dell Computer Corporation is a premier provider of products and services required for customers worldwide to build their information-technology and Internet infrastructures. Company revenue for the past year totaled $5.4 billion. Dell, through its direct business model, designs, manufactures and customizes products and services to customer requirements, and offers an extensive selection of software and peripherals Dells commitments to customer value, to our team, to being direct, to operating responsibly and, ultimately, to winning continues to differentiate it from other companies. In addition to a full line of desktop and notebook PCs designed for consumers, Dell offers network servers, workstations, storage systems, and Ethernet switches for enterprise customers. The company also sells handheld computers, and it markets third-party software and peripherals. Dells growing services unit provides systems integration, support, and training.
Strengths
᠋ Dells high return to shareholders has been the result of a focused effort over time to balance growth with profitability and liquidity.
᠋ Dell rules the consumer PC market Dell by using its pioneering direct sales model.
᠋ Today, Dell operates one of the highest volume Internet commerce sites in the world based on Microsoft Corp.’s Windows operating systems.
᠋ The company is increasingly realizing Internet-associated efficiencies throughout its business, including procurement, customer support and relationship management.
᠋ Dell also introduces the latest relevant technology much more quickly than companies with slow-moving, indirect distribution channels, turning over inventory every three days on average.
᠋ At present, they are increasingly turning their sights toward open-standards-based computing, which will eventually regulate proprietary technology to a niche Dell will be experiencing growth in capacity because of open standards. Because of this new trend, Dell will benefit and can have bright prospects.
᠋ Dell Computer may not be known for innovation, but the company has started to think outside the box. Touting a sales model that sidesteps middleman markups for lower prices, the worlds #1 direct-sale computer vendor.
᠋ Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated rapidly compared to earnings growth in the past three years. It is also expected to grow from 0.48 to 1.16 in 005.
MCGRAW HILL PUBLISHING (MHP)
McGraw hill develops products that influence lives. Their mission is to grow globally in financial services, expand global publishing operations, increase penetration of global education market, capitalize on opportunities in electronic commerce & grow the business to business information services and products. It is a global leader in education materials and professional information, with offices in more than 0countries and publications in more than 40 languages. The company is one of the worlds largest producers of textbooks, tests, and related materials, serving the elementary, secondary, and higher education markets. McGraw-Hill is also a leading supplier of financial and business information services, providing indexes and ratings for both domestic and overseas markets through Standard & Poors.
Strengths
᠋ During 000, The McGraw-Hill Companies three segments witnessed global growth in a variety of areas.
᠋ They are known for their Solid performances in Financial Services.
᠋ Improvement in the advertising market and prudent cost controls of the McGraw Hill publishing helps the Corporation achieve double-digit growth in the coming challenging years.
᠋ Continuing emphasis on global growth and product diversification,
᠋ They have continued to provide leadership to its markets and expect to do he same in the future.
᠋ It introduced a new methodology for evaluating companies core earnings and published a study and rankings on corporate transparency, governance and disclosure practices.
᠋ McGraw-Hill Higher Education grew at double-digit rates and its products sold well worldwide in the past year. The U.S. McGraw-Hill School Education Group captured % of the K�1 students therefore adoption of market by % in 00.
᠋ The scope of operations, the quality of editorial product, and the pace at which new media is developing to fulfill customers information requirements, is increasing.
᠋ Finally, B to B magazine recognized the strength of the Corporation and the success of its strategy by naming The McGraw-Hill Companies No. 1 on its Top 10 Business Media Powerhouses list. This company is bound to deliver bottom line performance. By collaborating internally and externally This company could serve the markets better.
᠋ Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated moderately compared to earnings growth in the past three years. Earnigns are expected to increase by 0.1 fromt his quarter to .5 in 004.
INTEL (INTC)
I
ntel is by far the worlds top semiconductor maker. Even though archrival AMD has eaten into its market share, and while some of its diversification efforts have stalled, Intel still makes several times as much from chips as do any of its rivals. Though best known for its Pentium and Celeron microprocessors -- about four-fifths of all new PCs have them -- Intel also makes flash memories (where its also #1 globally) and embedded semiconductors for the communications and industrial equipment markets. Most computer makers use Intel processors; PC giant Dell is the companys largest customer.
Strengths
᠋ Intel opened a second 00mm manufacturing facility & is scheduled to transition from 0.1-micron production to 0-nanometer production later in 00
᠋ Customer adoption of Intel XScale technology continued to grow, leading to record unit shipments. Dell Computer introduced a new line of PDAs based on Intel processors.
᠋ Intel introduced the first flash memories that combine multi-level cell technology for greater storage capacity and 1.8V-only operation for simpler cell phone design.
᠋ Intel also announced that it is producing customer samples of a product code-named Manitoba that integrates computing, communication and memory functions onto a single chip.
᠋ Intel announced fourth-quarter revenue of $7. billion, up 10% sequentially and up % year-over-year. Revenue for 00 was $6.8 billion, up 1% from $6.5 billion in 001. Net income was $.1 billion, up 141% from $1. billion in 001.
᠋ Intel expects revenue to be between $6.6 billion and $6.8 billion, as compared to the previous range of $6.5 billion to $7.0 billion. The company’s Intel Architecture business is trending slightly above expectations and continues to follow seasonal patterns. Intel’s communications business is trending below expectations due to lower than anticipated flash memory sales.
᠋ The company expects the gross margin percentage to be slightly below the midpoint of the range of 50 percent, plus or minus a couple of points, due to higher than expected flash inventory reserves.
᠋ Gains or losses from equity investments and interest and other are expected to be a net loss of $100 million, as compared to the previous expectation of a net loss of $15 million, primarily due to lower expected impairment charges on private equity investments.
᠋ Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated rapidly compared to earnings growth in the past three years. Its earnings is expected to grow by 0.1 from this quarter to 0.8 in 004.
M COMPANY (MMM)
M is a $16 billion diversified technology company with leading positions in consumer and office; display and graphics; electronics and telecommunications; health care; industrial; safety, security and protection services; transportation and other businesses. Operations in more than 60 countries � international companies with manufacturing operations, with laboratories. In the United States, operations in
4 states. Headquartered in St. Paul, Minnesota, the company has operations in more than 60 countries and serves customers in nearly 00 countries. M is one of the 0 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average and also is a component of the Standard & Poors 500 Index. It provides investors an attractive return through sustained, quality growth. They aim to Satisfy customers with superior quality, value and service. They also have respect our social and physical environment
More than 40 business units, organized into seven businesses
• Health Care
• Industrial
• Consumer and Office
• Display and Graphics
• Electro and Communications
• Safety, Security and Protection Services
• Transportation
M performance initiatives include � Six Sigma, M acceleration, eproductivity, Sourcing effectiveness, Indirect cost control.
A Century of Innovation is a celebration of the values and innovative thinking that makes M unique. Perseverance, ingenuity and creativity have made Ms first 100 years a century of success. For years, people around the world have looked to M for products and ideas that solve problems and make their lives easier and better. Our achievements are the foundation of a proud past and the bright future of many innovations to come. The same spirit of innovation and customer focus that led M to develop and sell these now ubiquitous, indispensable products has launched thousands of others. Many of Ms other products, including high-performance tapes, specialty chemicals, light-management materials, flexible circuits, drug-delivery systems, reflective sheetings, and structured abrasives, are equally as common, if not as well recognized by name. Pulling together a cross-functional team and leveraging our own expertise is one of their great strengths.
Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated rapidly compared to earnings growth in the past three years and is expected to grow to 6.67 in 004.
BIO IMAGING TECHNOLOGY (BIT)
Bio-Imaging Technologies, Inc. is a healthcare contract service organization providing services that support the product development process of the pharmaceutical, biotechnology and medical device industries. The Company has specialized in assisting its clients in the design and management of the medical-imaging component of clinical trials since 10. Bio-Imaging serves its clients on a global basis through its US Core Lab (Newtown PA), European Core Lab (Leiden, TheNetherlands) and U.S. Business Offices (Massachusetts and California). Bio-Imaging Technologies keeps an eye out for medical breakthroughs. The company processes and analyzes medical images for clients conducting clinical trials on drugs or medical devices. Its software system Bio/ImageBase lets clients and FDA officials electronically review the images and related data. Bio-Imaging also offers technical consulting and end-user support. It markets services directly in the US and Europe, primarily to developers of treatments for cancer, central nervous system disorders, and cardiovascular disease, as well as to companies developing diagnostic imaging and anti-inflammatory agents.
Strengths
᠋ The company’s sales growth increased by 87. % and gross margin increased by 8.6% in the previous year.
᠋ BIT had a solid 00 and their EPS is expected to increase by 4% in 00 thus indicting bright prospects of the company.
᠋ The stock’s recent rise can be attributed to a series of good news (00 results and a move to the AMEX) and could give conservative investors pause. While there may be some near-term downside risk (profit taking from an all-time high), we feel that the fundamentals justify our 1-18 month target price of $4.50.
᠋ Bio-Imaging Technologies (“BIT”) is a classic “undiscovered stock,” quietly building a solid business and ignored by Wall Street.
᠋ The Company provides specialized imaging and data collection services to the pharmaceutical, bio-tech, and medical device sectors.
᠋ The demand for BIT’s services are expected to increase as the companies in these sectors continue to develop new products and as the FDA requires more of the data in digital form.
FEDEX (FDX)
FedEx is a global provider of transportation, e-commerce & supply chain management services, offering integrated business solutions through a network of independently operating subsidiaries. The company offers integrated business solutions through a network of subsidiaries operating independently, including FedEx Express, the worlds largest express transportation company; FedEx Ground, North Americas second largest provider of small-package ground delivery service; FedEx Freight, the largest U.S. provider of regional less- than-truckload freight services; FedEx Custom Critical, North Americas largest provider of expedited time-critical shipments; and FedEx Trade Networks, a provider of customs clearance, international freight forwarding and trade facilitation. FedEx is one of the worlds great success stories, the start-up that revolutionized the delivery of packages and information. And yet, today, FedEx is so much more. It has developed into a large family of diverse companies which has become better & stronger. All backed by more than 14,000 employees and contractors who are more focused than ever on meeting customer needs � about five million times a day.
Strengths
᠋ In 00, FedEx Corp. Reported Higher First Quarter Earnings; Net Income Increased by 45%.
᠋ Revenues rose 10% to $16.66B. Net income before accounting change rose 1% to $550M . Results reflect volume growth at FedEx Ground, improved operating margins and lower net interest expense.
᠋ At FedEx, leading the way comes naturally. They were the first to originate the modern air/ground express industry.
᠋ FedEx is one of the worlds most admired companies because of its aim of more services, more technology.
᠋ They also invented the concept of time-critical expedited delivery.
᠋ They were the first to use bar code labeling in the ground transportation industry and the first express company to offer time-definite freight service.
᠋ They expect to continue leading the way for their customers, investors, employees and communities.
᠋ It is expecting an increase in their earnings from 0.0 to .1 in 004.
PFIZER (PFE)
Pfizer Inc discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets leading prescription medicines for humans and animals and many of the worlds best-known consumer brands. Their innovative, value-added products improve the quality of life of people around the world and help them enjoy longer, healthier, and more productive lives. The company has three business segments health care, animal health and consumer health care which are available in more than 150 countries. Key Consumer Health Care Products include Benadryl, Cortizone, Desitin, E.P.T., Listerine, Lubriderm, Neosporin, Rolaids, Sudafed, Visine,
᠋ Pfizer built on its position as the worlds largest pharmaceutical company in 00, increasing total revenues by 1% to $.4 billion. Net income grew 17% to $.1 billion and diluted earnings per share grew 0% to $1.46 in 00 as compared to the prior year. Income before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle, excluding certain significant items and merger-related costs, grew 1% to $. billion, and diluted earnings per share on this same basis increased 1% to $1.5.
᠋ Toward a Healthier World Our dividend payout ratio was approximately 6% in both 00 and 001. In December 00, our Board of Directors declared a first-quarter 00 dividend of $.15 per share. The 00 cash dividend marks the 6th consecutive year of dividend increases.
᠋ The job of any research-based pharmaceutical company is to develop safe, effective medicines. At Pfizer, Their belief in this is equally important to create access to those medicines� whether through the new treatments discovered and develop in their laboratories; the products that are taken by millions of people every day; the health knowledge with caregivers and patients; or their patient assistance programs in the U.S. and abroad.
᠋ Earnings growth in the past year is holding steady compared to earnings growth in the past three years and it is expecting an increase in earnings from 0.44 to .0 in 004.
Pfizer Inc, a large-cap growth company in the health care sector, is expected to significantly outperform the market over the next six months with less than average risk.
CITIGROUP (C)
The Citigroup Global Consumer Group businesses comprise the financial service sector’s most diverse consumer product offerings � banking services, credit cards, loans and insurance. Citigroup Inc., today’s pre-eminent financial services company, with some 00 million customer accounts in more than 100 countries, dates back to the history of Citibank, which began in 181. Other major brand names under Citigroups trademark red umbrella include Citi Cards, CitiFinancial, CitiMortgage, CitiInsurance, Primerica, Diners Club, Citigroup Global Corporate and Investment Bank, Citigroup Asset Management, The Citigroup Private Bank and CitiCapital.
᠋ Their businesses offer industry-leading advanced technology, a strong worldwide presence and a powerful global franchise in Citibank.
᠋ Earnings growth in the past year is holding steady compared to earnings growth in the past three years and is expected to increase from 0.77 to .61 in 004.
MANAGERS BOND (MGFIX)
This fund strives to provide income by investing at least 80% of assets in fixed-income securities rated BBB or higher. Management invests in a diversified portfolio, which may include obligations of the U.S. Government, its agencies, and instrumentalities, as well as corporate and convertible bonds, debentures, non-convertible preferred stocks, mortgage-related securities, asset-backed issues, Eurodollar certificates of deposit, and Eurodollar bonds. The fund may invest up to 0% in variable-rate instruments. When selecting securities, management considers the financial strength of the issuer, risk/reward possibilities, dividend yield, and future interest-rate expectations. Its year expense projection is estimated to be $50 which is less as compare to the fund’s category of $45.
Type % of Net Assets
Cash 6.
Stocks 0.4
Bonds 85.1
Other 7.6
DELAWARE POOLED GLOBAL FIXED INCOME (DPGIX)
Delaware Pooled Global Fixed-Income (DPGIX) seeks current income consistent with preservation of capital. The fund normally invests at least 65% of assets in issuers organized or deriving a majority of their operating income in at least three different countries. Management is oriented to country selection and is value driven. It identifies those countries fixed-income markets which it believes will provide the highest yield over a market cycle while also offering the opportunity for capital gain and currency appreciation. The fund may also invest in zero- coupon bonds. It only invests in securities rated AAA or AA or judged to be of comparable quality. This fund is non-diversified.
This fund is projected to rank in their category at the #1 position for the next � 5 years.
Type % of Net Assets
Cash .
Stocks 4.
Bonds .
Other 0.0
OVERALL THIS PORTFOLIO, WHICH HAS A BALANCE OF STOCKS & BONDS CAN SEE AN IMPRESSIVE GROWTH IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS.
This chart represents the risk � return of all the 11 holdings on a 6 point scale with 6 being the most riskiest and the most highest in returns.
COMAPNY RISK RETURN
LMT 4
BIT 4 6
PFE 6
DELL 6
MHP 4
INTC 4 6
FDX 5
C 4 5
MMM 5
DPGIX 5 5
MGFIX 4 5
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